Thursday, October 01, 2009

whether it's weather

WHETHER IT’S WEATHER
I have a lot of respect for our boy over at www.americanenergycrisis.blogspot.com . I think I’m at least slightly outclassed in intelligence in comparison. I’m sure that after a side by side IQ test, I would be hauled away on the short bus. So I can’t just say I’m right and he’s wrong regarding the future. If you remember back to the last article on whether doomers wish for a collapse, I first brought up my disagreement with his conclusions. I think that rather than one side ( for the love of all that’s holy and just, we’re all going to die immediately!! ) or the other ( all is calm, do not stampede, western civilization will not implode!! ) being correct, we can just look at it from two different perspectives. Of course, secretly, deep down, I know I’m always right and rest of you suck my butt, but I’m struggling to stay logical here. His latest post pretty much dismisses peak energy as a concern for agriculture and says that the weather is what is going to be the wild card. I don’t disagree with that. Weather has been super freaky lately. What I don’t agree with is the disregard given Peak Oil.
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Let me make this pretty plain. It’s all about energy. So, even though weather is going to play havoc with our food supply, its effects would not be as severe if we still had an energy surplus. In essence, we both agree about future problems. I’m convinced we are all going to die a horrible and elongated death. He thinks we will adjust downward from a consumer society and prance gaily amongst the organically grown orchards, singly the praises of Obammy and his ass whore Al Gore. Thank you for saving us po white folk massa by making it too expensive to drive to a job because of carbon taxes. But before I get too worked up about the future, let’s go strolling down history lane. In the past food shortages, famine and severe weather were eased by energy surplus. One part of the globe fed the other part after food shortages. WWI Europe, WWII Europe, Africa back when we the Soviets and Americans were trying to bribe their leaders. Plenty of times there was nothing to eat and plenty of times the food came rolling in from elsewhere ( Dust Bowl and 70’s droughts included ) . Now, granted, population pressures play a role in surplus energy and food. But surplus energy helped grow those numbers in the first place.
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I also understand that we are pretty much in the middle of a global drought ( or at least were ). So one country feeding a lot of others might be hindered. But given enough energy, the crisis becomes a lot more manageable and less severe. We won’t even get into if the burning of all the fuel led to the severe weather of today. It’s enough to focus on how what worked in the past won’t work in the future. Because we don’t have the surplus oil we used to have. Less energy means weather effects are multiplied. As are population effects. Both of which played a role in decreasing our national food surpluses. The last thirty years of breathing room were because of the last untapped economical oil being sucked up quick. No saving grace there this time. And this time food problems will mean mass die off, because we have become so dependant on global food trade and artificial fertilizer. It is about the energy. And we are silly to think it will turn out okaly dokely.
END

4 comments:

Buzz Kimball said...

well it rained all summer in NH, 3 damn months of it, and now it's nearly winter... like what ever happened to Georgia ? did it sink into the sea or not ?


as to obammy, carbon taxes, and the end of free oil... why can't the little precious fatties walk to school ? we have 20 school buses running in this town for a total of 1,000 cherubs. typically they run by here, either empty or with a child or two on them...

go by the school at 2:30. forget about it. there's 500 SUV's and a dozen cop cars.....

cut out the waste, there's more than enuf. politicians and state troopers are getting $200,000/yr pensions.... did they pay anything like that into the system ? of course not, and you know that means your not going to get anything.......

HermitJim said...

I have to admit to being in agreement with you on the energy crunch being a big factor in the future...but I don't know about the speed at which the bad times will be coming.

All very confusing to this old man...!

James m Dakin said...

Refer back to the article "8%" to review why I'm panicking. How many years can you see 70% of your oil supply contract at 8% a year before serious problems occur? We are already turning 30% of our corn into ethanol ( doubling food prices along the way ), a good amount of natural gas into liquid fuel through the tar sands program. We have shot past cheap and abundant oil years ago and are now starting to scrape the bottom of the barrel. 2005 was Year One of the slide to the right side of the bell curve. It's a long slow collapse until suddenly we shoot over the falls. No infrastructure to support a non-oil economy or food production system ( not at the population levels currently seen ). You can read the first quarter of my e-book "Life After The Collapse" for free on my web site to see more details, but that pretty much sums it up. Happy Collapse!

WormMainea said...
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