TRAVEL DOWN
Well, I’m feeling much better than yesterday, thanks for asking, showing concern and lighting a candle for me. I guess I’m spoiled, having no difficulty at all always getting a good nights sleep. Being out in the semi-boonies helps a lot in this regard. The only sound out there is the train and I’m used to that. So, whenever my sleep is cut short I think it takes a lot out of me. Perhaps more than it should. Back in the day when I was working management it was normal to get crap for sleep. Now that work stress is above my pay grade it is rare to have a bad nights sleep. Today I would like to go over the old ground of retreating and bugging out. A certain unnamed blog had an article, rather long, on bugging out by airplane. I would have read it, but my plan is to have
Oompa Loompa’s
come rescue me in their edible candy hot air balloon fueled by pixie dust and we will sail away to a magical land far from the mundane troubles of this planet. My plan is much better and more than likely more achievable by the average person.
*
As I was living 300 miles south, living in the trailer park, I envisioned a bug out plan for myself. Three gas cans and a full tank and I could have made it up here to Elko. The good part of this plan was that it would have been as easy as could be to afford that. Anyone on the smallest paycheck could do that. And since I was already in a trailer I would have pulled my home and my supplies up with me. The bad part of that plan was that it wouldn’t have worked. One government checkpoint, one run on the gas stations after the Straight Of Hormuz was chocked off, any small change from normal and I most likely wouldn’t have made even that small of a distance. If just a small percentage of Californians panicked and fled east the highways would have been gridlocked and I would have run out of gas. In all probability, nothing so drastic would have happened. But it would have been stupid to bet my life on it. In my case, it was stupider NOT to move. I went from paying a four hundred dollar lot rent to paying a hundred dollar land payment. In five years I had paid a very nasty individual almost fifteen grand to live in Carson City. He was gouging by at least thirty percent. If I stay long enough on this lot close to town I’ll eventually pay half that amount and then I’ll own it. Yes, the price I pay here is a very cold commute whereas in town I was a half mile to work. Nothing is free.
*
In the case of our Superior Person In The Form Of Yuppie
Survivalist
More Worthy Of Life After The Collapse Since He Makes More Money And Shall Fly Above Us Peons To Avoid Breathing The Same Air As We, he stays in the city to work a well paying job. I simply traded minimum wage for minimum wage. The only trade off was a less laid back boss. In the case of His Lordship he can’t go to the boonies without cutting his pay , I don’t know, fifty percent perhaps. You would figure at that pay level they could easily telecommute at something. Maybe he was a doctor and needed to keep examining rectums up close and personal. But I wonder if he’s thought of the possibility of air travel restrictions. Or does he think he can escape early? I know a lot of you are thinking that you are smart and would always leave early, giving
Katrina
as an example. But how many global changing events are going to come with a warning? A middle eastern nuke strike. A major solar flare. Declaration of martial law. I’m sure I’ve missed a few good ones. My point is that you should be thinking of Black Swans.
*
Yuppie survivalist gurus warn that living at your retreat is the only good answer. They tell you that even if you leave in your super jacked up chrome wheel four wheel drive
SUV
and get parked in traffic, so you roll out your handy ten thousand dollar dirt bike and go shooting through the countryside, once you get to your super deluxe concrete fortress, chances are good the supplies have been looted. Okay, great advice. The same I’m giving you. Retreating/bugging out is a fool’s strategy. Too much can go wrong. But the Yuppie Strategy usually gives the average middle class prepper no option but to plan on getting to a far away retreat. So much money is required to “properly” prepare that there is no choice but to stay in the city to get the big bucks. They can’t take the pay cut even if they could work from home. Not to have all the required tens of thousand’s of dollars worth of food and weapons and night vision and radio gear. Not to mention the hundreds of thousands of dollars worth of prime real estate.
*
This kind of contrary advice, that which tells you to do the impossible so as to cover the authors butt, reminds me of
Forbes
magazine. They never called the Great Depression. And throughout the beginning of the Greater Depression they are singing the Green Shoots song. “Obammy. Obammy! Our hero, Obammy! He’ll give the banks trillions and oil wells will fill back up and as long as CEO’s get billions our economy will be saved-OBAMMY!!!” The Green hoots song, ladies and gentlemen. I wonder if I should patent that. Well, they took a one page article and ran it in the back of one issue, vaguely suggesting a les than perfect future. There was everyone’s warning! Idiots. I used to love that magazine, pre-
Enron
. Another slight detail you might have missed- your job will disappear eventually anyway. Probably before the mortgage is paid. Remember that three years running oil import drop? The economy is doomed. Bug out now. Not tomorrow, not next year. Prep cheaply so you can relocate cheaply and work cheaply. I know it isn’t perfect advice. Try finding a job anywhere, right? But living in a city where crime is increasing is playing Russian Roulette with your life. A super retreat hundreds of miles away doesn’t stop a car jacking or mugging. And even if you are armed, that will do little good if you are ambushed with a criminal packing a submachinegun. It’s all about playing the odds, and counting on escaping at the last minute stacks the odds against you.
END
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12 comments:
(Less than 30 miles from my home Sep 2005 during Hurricane Rita.)
(edited for clarity)
http://www.timebomb2000.com/vb/showthread.php?t=169007&highlight=looting%2Ffights
Pandora wrote
Looting/Fights in my hometown
I just spoke to my Dad and he has spoken to a local LEO. He said that fights have broken out at a local church that has been set up as a shelter. Also there have been a few incidents of looting and robberies. I don't plan on leaving my house until this stuff is over.
Amazed wrote
That's too bad, pandora. I guess we get to see the good and the bad in these situation.
Suzy wrote
Lets hope it doesn't get ugly. Do you have a lot of the Katrina victims there also?
pandora wrote
A friend listening to a police scanner just called and said that our Walmart has had to shut down due to looting and one person has been shot there. Also 3 vehicles have been carjacked. by suzy
Lets hope it doesn't get ugly. Do you have a lot of the Katrina victims there also?
Pandora wrote
We have about 400 Katrina evacuees and 8000 Rita evacuees. We have had to start turning people away. This situation is getting very tense here.
VesperSparrow wrote
You know what? I cannot understand why people are going worse than hog a**ed wild during these things. It is beyond my limits. I say shoot to kill. Stay safe pandora. Please. No answering the door for nobody. And when this thing is over, watch your back at all stores, ESPECIALLY the gas stations! We've had 2 women hit in the head and their cars stolen while pumping gas.
Praying for the LEOs having to put up with this low life dirt scum.
(there is more)
I hope these people that live the good life in the city, and plan to bug-out in their plane at the last minute, pull up to find a scene like in the movie 'Blow': Three guys using a bolt cutter to remove the chain and then stealing ('borrowing') their plane!
They'd be stuck on the tarmac, watching their plane take off and be left only with their SUV with massage chair in the back that they were planning to take with them.
Here I stay, bugged out years ago..:-)
Sir:
Despite your often borderline drunk rantings today's article is the essence of your beliefs.
It is also absolutely correct and on target.
At my age (80's) I am, as you say "doomed for the stew pot", but I hope to be able to help my children and grandchildren to some small extent before my going into the pot.
Regarding todays aricle, ongratulations and thank you
Borderline drunk? I have to stay cold sober to come up with this wisdom and wit. How about, borderline lunatic or fear besotted ramblings? I like that better.
Anon10:37,.
I hope you intend to use up some of the ammo stash before ya go in the pot.. I am..I've been thinking about that aspect..Might just have me squad of youngins of me own outfitted by me and led by a captain of my choosing..have enough ground and livestock to feed several, have to figure out housing for them and their women ,kids..
People who are preparing but live in cities are "Yuppies"? News to me - who lives in city and am prepping - and that's a pretty damn wide brush.
I think the vast majority living in cities and prepping will agree it's best to live at your retreat. I can't, right now, but its not unoccupied and I don't fear it'll be looted when/if I get there. So yeah, it'd be nice to be out of the city, not have to worry about bugging out and getting my wife and kids killed along the way.
Working on a move, including a career change if needed, but it takes time. Better to make the right move than to go bankrupt and end up hawking my guns to pay the gas bill or put a meal on the table.
Part of that wide brush covered over a lot of other reasons to live in the city, besides earning enough to be a "Yuppie survivalist." I don't exactly make peanuts, but I do have some... other obligations. I guess I could buy an AR-10 in .308, but I prefer a Mosin Nagant. A 4WD, sure, but a used truck, not a pimped out Hummer. And so on.
I don't know if we can escape early. We'll have to try if we're not moved yet. I do have plenty of gas and have mapped out hundreds of miles of back roads and alternate routes, a cheap GPS, etc. Still less than 50/50, but not planning means about a zero percent chance of surviving.
I know the odds are against me, but assuming you know why some preppers live in a city... well you know what they say about the word "assume."
Bugged out slowly and safely in 06-to small town where I was a complete stranger-took utmost care to become one of them-without stepping on any toes-it took some time but now I have two part time jobs-and a small business-a small but faithful following that makes use of my skills-and a great woman who doesn't think I am crazy for all the preps I've made-like my family does-God have mercy on them WTSHTF-did it all on a budget and lots of prayer. Do it now folks
Wednesday, February 10, 2010
Wilson of Afghanistan died today.
Charlie Wilson was my congressman, Second District Texas. His name is spoken with respect by men who are concerned not with dying,but with dying well. He came to the court
house in Groveton TX and visited with all comers. I told him, "Sir, there may be someone here who does not know that you are the man who gave Stinger missiles to the Afgfhan rebels. Millions of us do
know, and we respect and admire you, sir."
Ave atque vale
Through many countries and over many seas
I have come, Brother, to these melancholy rites,
to show this final honour to the dead,
and speak (to what purpose?) to your silent ashes,
since now fate takes you, even you, from me.
Oh, Brother, ripped away from me so cruelly,
now at least take these last offerings, blessed
by the tradition of our parents, gifts to the dead.
Accept, by custom, what a brother’s tears drown,
and, for eternity, Brother, ‘Hail and Farewell’.
Gaius Valerius Catullus
I just look at the people at wallyworld or how people act now when driving in traffic,I think if things get bad they all well lose their minds and it would be real bad.RW
The older gentleman (10:37AM) is completely correct - "travel down" is one of your best columns. It's a theme that needs to be relentlessly repeated. Especially if - as you once wrote - you have a turnover in readers.
Having said that, Suburban Survivalist (4:07PM) is also correct. I also am a city dweller, earning big dough, hoping that I'll have enough warning to flee, while I save/prepare.
That's why I think that "emotional/financial blackmail" is the best solution. Contact a friend/rellie who already has a place in the bush (not TOO far away) and simply ask if you can stock stuff up at his place - with the understanding that he can use the stuff and that, should "it" happen...and you never turn up, it's his. The two absolutely essential preconditons are that, a) it's a shed/trailer on his land, i.e. you get on each others nerves less and, b)you brutally/shamelessly/mercilessly flatter and/or bribe his wife and get her on board with the idea.
Be honest Jim! Admit that there's a certain elegance to the argument! Some person gives you some obscene amount of money, under the table (in case ex-wives are watching). You can then further your goals, they may never turn up, you have more "stuff" and you can STILL claim never to have met them, when they turn up bedraggled and exhausted, at your place.
Mr. Dakin,
You do a lot of reading and research. Have you ever looked into the history of survivalism? It would be interesting to know if the movement rises and falls in response to historic events and their aftermath. For example, was there an intense interest during the double dip recession of the early 80s? I remember that one to have been devastating to the Midwest farmers, and the beginning of the end for the auto industry. How about the oil embargoes in the 70s? I am curious to know more about the history of awareness of what now feels like an inevitable decline. Thank you.
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