PEAK OIL POST #439
The problem with using Bird or
Swine Flu
as your main selling point to sell your doom and gloom writing is that conditions have to be just right for it to happen. I still don’t know what was up with the Idiot Brigade at the WHO calling a few thousand deaths from Barnyard Flu a pandemic. Lack of thesaurus? Desperate bid for funding as the
CIA 
pulls back from vaccine contaminated man made virus African birth control? The problem with using economics as your main selling point is that there are too many unknowns. Is the government buying its own debt? How much are the statistics being manipulated? As you go screaming down the street in your camouflaged boxer shorts waving your
AR-15
and hollering that we are all going to die, something unknown comes along and makes what would be an otherwise perfectly logical panic seem silly and unwarranted. American empire is once again pulled back from the brink as the black helicopters stop their aerial spraying of Mexico City or a few more trillion bucks in derivatives are created to paper over the crisis for another few month ( or, pension fund assets are sacrificed to goose the stock market for another weekly gain so the big players [hint: the guys we’ve already bailed out ] can sell off their toxic loans at a profit ).
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Peak Oil
, on the other hand, is such a slam dunk crisis that everyone that hugs the problem tight and croons over it and nurses it out of its infancy is soon a hero across the land, ticker tape parades over the bright shiny new stew pot. I mean, come on! How hard is this stuff? Every few weeks there is major news over how much more we are screwed in the energy arena. Surprisingly, the majority still ignore it and secretly keep alive hope that if we could only just plant a derrick up Obammy’s butt it would shoot out
green shoots
as well a light sweet crude and all our problems would be solved. Oh, it is all just a vast right wing conspiracy and there are a gibillizon barrels of oil capped off in ( fill in the blank for area of your choice ). The wells are capped because it isn’t profitable to pump the sludge left in there, there are too many wells tied up overseas and thus a shortage, and the US is the heaviest explored region on Earth but it has still seen new discoveries decline for over seventy years ( other than Alaskan ). As it has globally for the last forty. Unless Abiotic Oil is not a fantasy, and unless the Grey’s have room temp fusion generators hidden in their space craft waiting to present it to Obammy ( Look! A Negro President! The Earthlings are so culturally advanced and enlightened we shall now shall all our technology with them ), Peak Oil is going to keep happening.
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I might poke fun and snicker about another Slow Collapse Guy over at
http://americanenergycrisis.blogspot.com/ but I really love this dude anyway. Okay, mostly it’s because he gives me free research to base my ranting on, but also because he actually does have his head out of his anal cavity and can think logically and clearly. I don’t want to embarrass him and make him blush and stammer, nor would I dream of making him try to avoid any public association with me, but if he ever desired, he can be an Honorary Loyal Minion. Last Thursday and Friday he ran two articles on the latest on import decline figures. Let me share with you, when I saw these numbers at first I thought that eating whole wheat twice a day was a really bad idea because it is almost too much fiber and I thought I was about to soil myself, but it turned out it was just my sphincter tightening up. I was so happy that I immediately declined to classify this under the old “happy financial news” and created a new category in honor of these numbers. The numbers are henceforth “giddy financial news”. Starting in 2006 to 2007 ( gee- a coincidence that this was one year after global peak occurred, don’t you think? ) our
oil import
numbers fell 3%. The next year, 2007 to 2008, they fell 8-1/2 %. 2008 to 2009 they were down 10%. And now, so far this year, down 6%. How many years do you need to see the unstoppable decline of oil imports? The oil started declining BEFORE the economy took a big squishy dump. The last figure of 6% isn’t even the full year. We are continuing to increase the amount of oil not being imported every year. We are already down 25% ( from 12-1/2 million barrels a day to 9-1/2 ). The collapse has just started ( here I’m limiting my panic to economic impacts, but you can hear the waterfall just up ahead, can’t you? ), and we are down 25% of our 70% of energy we don’t have up Obammy’s butt.
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We go from using 20 million barrels of oil a day to 15, and you aren’t panicking yet? Are you seriously that obtuse? Christ on a cracker! Almost four years of oil use decline and you don’t think this is the Mother Of All Energy Crashes? Energy is life. Our
population
is far too bloated and far too urbanized to live off of a few organic farms and there would be no way to get the food to them as transportation crashes. Okay, sorry, I’m trying to stay focused on economics rather than total collapse. As the only way to stretch out the dwindling supply of liquid fuel is to cut into citizen commuting, unemployment will soar even more. Which will cut even deeper into business activity, causing surges in more unemployment. We might all be on Lifetime Unemployment, but anyone can ask Zimbabwe how well a hyper-inflation economy works. As energy declines, we have no energy to construct, sell, buy, or commute. There is no growth to feed the debt interest. All economic activity in a capitalistic system dies with the
banks
( as foul and rancid as they are, they are needed to keep the current system alive ). With energy decline, we can’t construct a new economy. We can grow our own turnips and fight over them, but it is a contracting economy. Printing money like mad and putting make-work nationalized employees on telecommuting duty will work for a time, but it is just temporary. All economic activity will grind to a halt with energy decline.
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Four years of decline. Ignore at your own risk. Just go back to your mortgage and SUV, but don’t come blaming me for lack of warning after you are in the stew pot.
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20 comments:
So what do tou want us to do?run screaming down the street crying.Im for the idea that some smart person well come up with something to replace oil.Desperate times breed innovation.RW
I'm back, you're almost sounding like a man again, no more NPR and Barney The Dinosaur and complaining about TV soap operas ok? Yes, NCIS is just a cop opera like there are horse operas, space operas, etc.
I want to thank you for your tip on the Mr Buddy heater. I had a Mr Heater last winter and it really dumped some heat! Which means it gobbled propane. I've used a kerosene heater, the ol' dump rubbin' alcohol in a can and light 'er up, and used my propane cooking stove a bit, if you just keep a burner on high or low, it's pretty thrifty on propane and keeps the edge off of the chill. A refinement would be a computer type fan, to blow across the air above the flame, so the "plume" doesn't just head for the ceiling but instead the heat spreads around a bit.
I told this tip to an RV-living basically homeless dude on the weekend, told him to get one of those things that's basically a burner ring that goes right on the top of the 5-gallon bottle of propane, for cooking on.
I like yours better though, tip-over shutoff and all kinds of neat safety stuff, I like it. You should put an Amazon link so those more on the Matrix than I am can order it on Amazon and you get a few cents out of it.
The best analogy I can think of for Peak Oil is, our society is like a big Jenga setup, all sticks levered upon levers upon levers .... now imagine that built on sand. A person could do a neat YouTube movie of something like that, then show how the sand's just a bit soft and the thing kinda sags ... .then crashes in places, crashes a bit more....
YOU need to make plans to keep fed after your wheat runs out. I think if you're gonna be a herder you need to get at least that nanny goat I recommend and get to work knowing the animals.
jim as troubling as those numbers are when we bottom out at our lowest import amount nessasary to keep the illusion of america alive. thats when we will see a price spike the size never before seen it we will see gas go upto 5 to 6 a gallon in a month and it will be like a brick wall to everyone we thought 4 was bad for what 3 months. i own a gas station the gallons sold is plumetting normal people are acting wierd and dontrelise the change and the drugies and wierd ones are getting desperate you use run a c/store you know we see more than cops ministers or social workers in a community. the public is at the breaking point. what the tipping point will be i dont know but but i think grandma and crack whores will be side by side screaming that this is america we are ENTITLED
Anon 8:01,
No amount of dreaming,wishing,demanding,bitchingetc is going to fix this little pickle. All smart peolpe have plans to get out of dodge already. As they figured the oil thing out since 1970. No Chevy volt ( this one kills me, GM did little promoting of this car until the gov steppped in,HHMMMM) ,no wind generators ( yea,I passed a few millions of theses on the way to work today,not ),nuclear electric ( these too,right next to the fans ), bicycling ( imagine 60 % of the population doing this one,fatso, I believe the word was ), or other bs is turning this ship around and over the falls we go. No wonder Obammy is forse feeding us with the health bill, apparently it is stuffed with all sorts of reforms. Maybe he knows something we don't?
PS; want to be that smart guy,PREP!
peace
http://vlad-unclevlad.blogspot.com/2010/02/grow-hemp-dont-import-oil-let-arabs.html
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Grow hemp. Don't import oil. Let arabs herd goats.
Ron Paul has good sense. He is for growing hemp.
http://www.hemphasis.net/Fuel-Energy/fuel.htm
http://www.thespringoflife.net/hemp.html
Hemp (Cannabis sativa) – Hemp immediately makes us think of drugs. But there is no need for that! Marijuana is made from a different plant of the same family. Hemp contains such a tiny amount of THC (the psychoactive chemical found in marijuana) that it has no negative effects on humans. Hemp is actually one of the most healthful plants ever known to mankind. On top of that, it lends itself to the production of paper, cosmetics, building materials, textiles, non-toxic diesel fuel, paint, varnish, detergent, ink, lubricating oil, etc. Hemp is an unpretentious plant that can be grown in many climates.
History: Hemp has been known to mankind for at least 10,000 years. A piece of hemp fabric has been found that dates back to 8,000 BC. Throughout history, whole populations have survived off hemp seed in times of famine. Chinese and Ayurvedic medicines have prescribed hemp for a myriad of diseases. Hemp was grown by farmers in the United States for hundreds of years. The United States presidents Washington and Jefferson grew hemp and praised it in their writings. Hemp was a major American crop in the 18th and 19th centuries, until a man named Harry Anslinger began promoting anti-marijuana legislation around the world, causing the prohibition of hemp cultivation in 1937. During World War II, when the U.S. was short of rope, fabric, and other materials, a campaign called “Hemp for Victory” was launched. Farmers were encouraged to grow hemp in great quantities. Though this was allowed, there was no increase of marijuana consumption. Still, after WW II, hemp farming was again banned.
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Eve
Who gives a flying crap about peak oil? This life sucks,running out of oil would be a blessing. I'd like to see a solar flare fry everything.
Anybody ever watch Escape from L.A.? That was a great movie. I'd love to press the button and go back to the stone age.
Will somebody please submit an article on survival? Don't write about the following subjects:Peak oil, crapping in a bucket and LED lights. AARRGGGGGG!!!!!!
Quantity versus quality.
what happened to the loyal minions? Buck ? Randall ? Wildflower ?
Wildflower probably got a job working for ACORN.
It's sad to see daken self destruct. He needs to get out more often.
Are you having some kind of a breakdown?
What's wrong James?
Have you tried to get help?
something is rotten in the state of nevada
forget to empty your crapper bucket?
http://peakoildebunked.blogspot.com/
Bison,
If you make me a shirt and send it to me, I'll wear it. I can advertise your blog on it - you can give me a "free" shirt and you can get "free" advertising. If you're interested, I'll e-mail you.
yeah,poor little jimmy get to "know" animals.
he lives in elko,what else is their to do?
poor little jimmy can't wait for teotwawki. he's gonna read books and drink old coffee. crap in a bucket and take a bleach bottle shower. use his LED light to keep away the zombies.he can't use the enfield because he doesn't know how to shoot it.he's all theory. sooner or later he's gonna do some herding,yeah right,i belive you. maybe you can get laid if you can run faster than the sheep.poor sheep. poor little jimmy.
be a hermit.eat crappy food.crap in a bucket.ride a bike.freeze your butt off.take a shower using only 2 cups of water.keep led lights handy,you're scared of the dark,right? work at a low paying job with no stress,cause yo special.buy redundant cheap crap. blame women.blame yuppies(people that have real jobs).fear everything.run off family and friends.be a loner.store but don't shoot 50 year old rifles.spend extra money on peak oil books,wow interesting. bitch moan and groan.
sounds like a wonderful life.
Vlad is right.
Marijuana is real good. THC receptors in the brain confirm this.
peak oil,global warming,the great pumkin.facts you can't deny.
the easter bunny,fact.
santa claus,fact.
boogeyman,fact.
i believe you dankin.
You don't know what BO is. You smell like BO all the time.You have crooked teeth. You fart more than you breath. Farting is your mating call.
I don't see why less imported oil means that there IS less oil, only that we are USING less imported oil.
china, India and others are, I am sure, are using MORE now.
jpf
OK JIM, what are you going to do with the wheat?
how about an article about baking bread with a solar oven or with a wood fired oven or any other unconventional method of baking bread?
Actually if the SHTF,James isnt really as gloomy as it would really be.I drive everyday and look at people around me and think about what they would be like,hungry,homeless with knothing to lose.its really scary.RW
I thought when I said "obtuse" I might have been too harsh. No, too nice. Santa has never been seen. We've seen oil production in the US halved in 30 years. The most explored area on earth. Peak Oil is 30 years old and you still deny it. Take away Alaska and the Gulf and we are producing even less. The global oil production figures are following the US pattern. Have been for five years. What's a more descriptive word than obtuse?
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