Monday, April 05, 2010

rat race

RAT RACE


Today was a red letter day in Bison country. I was pretty excited to get my book order containing “Survival Gunsmithing” and “Survival Skills Of The North American Indians”, but then I got a huge box full of old Mother Earth News magazines from the seventies and eighties, sent to me by a loyal minion. Yes, I have the complete first two decades on CD, but the original paper versions with the graphics and old ads are a great nostalgic trip back to my youth. This doesn’t have much to do with anything other than I get to brag on it and make you feel inferior and deprived. Sure, you commute to work in climate controlled comfort and live in a huge house and are owned by a trophy wife, but you don’t have as nice of a library as I do. Get your priorities straight, damn you.

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You know how when you are invited to a black tie affair and you and all your ivy league school buddies are standing around sipping sherry and commenting on the deplorable condition of today’s imported caviar, when suddenly somebody farts? And not just an uncomfortable breakage of wind but a huge ripping explosion that has just an edge of the sound of wetness to it? And then everyone is just confused and an uncomfortable silence descends on the whole ballroom? That’s what it feels like from here with my just published fiction. Thanks if you are just trying to spare my feelings, but if you haven’t read it yet, go to http://www.bisonfiction.blogspot.com/

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I know you are too busy with above mentioned SUV and McMansion to worry about such things, but it bothers me when cannibalism is mentioned in fiction without any science behind it. I haven’t yet read “Through Darkest America”, ( I own it but have yet to get around to reading it ) but it seems the concept of raising humans for meat violates common sense energy requirements. The “Lost Battalion” series seems to make sense, in that the ravaging hordes only harvest the human meat every ten years or so. And only a certain percentage. And the humans feed themselves. But if you were raising captive humans for meat, penned up and fed in a stockyard, then the return on feed is hideous. Off the top of my head, I think it takes three pounds of grain to produce one pound of chicken and something like seven for beef. If you were to raise a human on the standard American diet of extra calories it would be 1:562 for a twenty year old. Okay, even if you harvested the meat before puberty and fed them less calories, you are still looking at hundreds to one calorie return.

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I somehow switched over to PBS last night on the TV and encountered “Nova”. I usually enjoy it, but never seem to get around to figuring out when it is on and if I should watch it on a regular basis. The program was “Rat Attack”. At first I just thought it was another animal program. Not that they are bad, but after watching my fill of Mutual Of Omaha’s Wild Kingdom when young it isn’t something I seek out much. You see one hour of lions acting just like your housecat ( twenty three hours of napping followed by a few vicious attacks on dust bunnies ), you’ve seen them all. Ah, but this episode was a little more exciting than that. This involved exponential population growth followed by die-off. Bing! We have a winner. Bring on the death and destruction. I didn’t catch if this was a new country or a part of India, although there was something about a rebellion fifty years earlier due to inadequate famine relief ( featuring a short clip of rebels stacking Lee-Enfields which let me tell you definitely tingled my sphincter ). Just west of Burma. Anyway, there are a lot of bamboo forests there and every forty eight years the bamboo dies after producing a fruit that falls to the forest floor. There is enough fruit to begin the growth process over again, and also to feed a huge explosion in the black rat population. Colonial records confirm the historical trend of fruit followed by famine.

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Black rats are the world record holders in the rat kingdom for reproduction. They can hump like rabbits. A litter is weaned in three weeks and about six weeks after that the females reproduce ( I might be slightly off, doing this by memory ). When food is scarce, their reproductive cycle slows down and mom will even eat a few of the babies to keep the population in check. But when the bamboo starts raining fruit, everything changes. The lifetime litters double. The reproductive cycle is in overdrive, the female being pregnant and giving birth just as the last batch is weaned. You will have a population of about a hundred rats per acre of bamboo forest in normal times and suddenly, very quickly, you can have up to twelve thousand per acre. The rats eat all the fruit ( until the time the fruit germinates and then is inedible ) and then, there being a lot of them and they being slightly hungry again the next day, they move on to the rice fields ( dry land rice, not paddy rice ). After thirty weeks from the first fruit falling, the rats run out of edible bamboo food and move on to the farm. By then they are in their forth population surge and at that twelve thousand number. Then they all die when the food is gone.

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Gee, do you think I could be eluding to the behavior of recent human population explosion here? Rats can keep their population under control until there is a never ending new food source available. Then they lose all restraint. Humans, at least in hunter/gatherer societies prior to the Agricultural Revolution, were very good at limiting their population to survive off of the lands production. But as soon as “unlimited” food is available, they just keep humping like bunnies. It was bad enough after we started farming, but those were short term, slight up ticks in the numbers. A bad harvest kills maybe a quarter of the population. But with coal and oil, and especially since the artificial nitrogen manufacturing process was perfected in or right before World War One , we have lost all reproduction restraint and our numbers have skyrocketed. Rat die off after the bamboo fruit, 99%. Human die-off after oil ( and not after ALL the oil is gone, but after ENOUGH is gone, 99%.

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We’ve covered this before. I hope you are listening. We are no smarter than rats, collectively. If it makes you feel better, perhaps this behavior is implanted in our DNA and we have no control over it. You can agitate all you want for green, permaculture, wind farm, Birkenstock wearing, Volvo driving lifestyles. If it doesn’t enrich those that control the resources, it will not happen. Period. All those authors that waste trees spelling out how this fantasy must happen are pissing into a hurricane. I can just hear the rats now. Gee, perhaps the fruit will fall before the next forty-eight year cycle, all evidence of history to the contrary ( gee, maybe oil is the first energy source that won’t run out ).

END
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14 comments:

Anonymous said...

James, after many months of being unable to visit your blog, I am able again. Living in the desert in Arizona has its drawbacks....Well I am back in Wisconsin, never to return to desert,, Good to see you are still here,

Old Fart

Sixbears said...

I read you hoping you are wrong but fearing you may be right.

Should never read you before having my morning coffee.

Anonymous said...

The book EARTH ABIDES also has several species (rats and ants iirc) which have a population explosion, then major implosion. In fact, there were many species mentioned in sub chapters of what the author thought would occur if Mankind's influence were to become suddenly very limited.

Good book, if you get a chance to read it - highly recommended.

What would really become a problem, especially in the tropics - insects. With the loss of many bird species, I highly doubt they would be able to keep the insect numbers in check for the short term. Maybe never be able to keep up with surge Moving to an island or boat might be required, if not to retain sanity.

CaNative said...

You still need help with your spelling and grammar, for instance, there IS a difference between "their" and "there", there really is.

No one's gonna read it because no one gives a shit. I'm seeing a trend I can't quite put a finger on but I'm gonna try:

(1)No one gives a shit because Doom is pretty much mainstream now and people are too worried about their own sorry asses.

(2) The lemmings who are convinced things will get better are still finding themselves unusually busy, what with new weird work hours since 30% of their co-workers are gone, getting some relatives set up living in their garage, dealing with the new car pool since they lost their car or a friend/neighbor did. Things are gonna get better but meanwhile, they're sure dancing!

(3)They don't give a shit because there's SO MUCH out there to read and view! When I was a kid there were 3 TV channels, and books. Now there's something like 726 TV channels, texts on their cellphone, a million Internet sites, texts, books advertised on the radio, text, friends urging 'em to get onto Oprah's or Bill O'Reilley's Book Club, oops jst gt 1 mr txt!

(4)This is the creepiest one. The Internet seems to have some kind of pulmonary, interstitial, edema. It's very very hard to post to a site, discuss anything, etc. I see brilliant articles, 0 Comments. Please Comment - I try and after writing a good one, Oops need to enroll, enlist, supply DNA and blood type, etc to post. Sorry! Fuck you! People are learning NOT to comment. I used to never read a blog I didn't comment on, now there are maybe two I comment on, and only one with any regularity. The Internet is gelling, where it was fluid and allowed the free flow of information and opinions, its purpose is becoming more to trap and kill them, like Purell.

Suburban Survivalist said...

So where can I get some bamboo and black rat stock? That's the message I'm getting. Don't forget to stock up on A1.

Anonymous said...

Can't wait until we're being shot up like this by the military

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2010/04/05/video-appears-forces-firing-unarmed-suspects-baghdad/om/

ex loyal minion said...

People are learning NOT to comment.

CaNative nailed it.

Format change sucks too.

Hmmm,Bisonia....well,same old same old.You start something and then you don't....

You worked hard and put in a lot of effort to make Bison a cool place to visit. I really enjoyed the funny comments,the exchanges were something else.Now that is all gone.

Ivy League guys drink sherry?

Limoncello anyone?

Welcome back Old Fart,did you forget that old people should STFU? Nice to have you back anyway:>)

Anonymous said...

Im sure people being people well kill enough of each other off to leave enough rats for me and my family.RW

Anonymous said...

Hey thanks ex loyal for the welcome back. Please note that I refrained from commenting on either the content or comments here in. I did learn some time back to STFU. I had enough of jousting with mental midgets.

Old Fart

Anonymous said...

Could we get your reaction to;

http://www.mutualist.org/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderfiles/ChapterOne.pdf

and how about a reaction to Atlas Shrugged by Ayn Rand?

what are your thoughts on Claire Wolfe and her writings?

Anonymous said...

Do you see any ways to prevent the collapse of civilization?

or is DOOM coming and there is nothin g that can be done to prevent it or slow the effects?

James m Dakin said...

I love Rand, even while I know her limitations/shortcomings. Wolfe is a great frugal living/libertarian but you need to recognize her limitations beyond that. Libertarian and survivalism don't always mix. I'm positive we will see a rapid die-off in the 90-99% range in my lifetime. I hope I'm wrong. And there will be zero chance of stopping it.

Anonymous said...

I'd love to read your thoughts on the shortcomings of Rand and Wolfe.

also have you considered making your blog posts shorter?

It seems the last guest article is about a third the size of one of your typical entries.

I'd hate to think you are forcing creativity and making your lesiure become your work.

as always thank you for the interesting reading content :)

Anonymous said...

Sorry for off topic, but 2012 is close, is this really matter?