Thursday, February 03, 2011

in de nile

IN DE NILE

Guest article today, scroll down when down with the regular article.
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I finished reading the Rawles recommended Tomorrow When The War Began. I ordered it in November and promptly forgot about it. When it was mentioned again, probably by the new Ball And Chain, I realized I hadn’t seen hide nor hair of the little bastard for two months. I wrote to the seller, got a refund and went back to Amazon to get another copy. Which of course cost more. So instead of a six buck book I got an eight dollar one. Perhaps I felt I had to hate it since I must be contrary in all things, but I doubt it. Perhaps the new and unimproved price soured me. Whatever, I didn’t hate it as much as I was bewildered by it. Was this really a male author writing it? It really sounded like a chick book. The narrator was a teenage female, and boy oh howdie did she just go on and on about feelings and love and potential mates. Oh, he’s so cute. But he’s so smart. Good god, just pick one and get impregnated already. You keep this up and you’ll hit menopause before you lose your virginity. Now, granted, the author is rather talented if he can pull this off. I can’t understand women, and I certainly couldn’t write about them. Well, I guess I could just go on and on about I felt about things and keep changing my mind and I’d come close. Guys are easy- two organs control our behavior and our only emotion is hate. We might feel gratitude after orgasm but we fall asleep too fast to remember, and wake up just wanting more. There is a bit of Red Dawn Down Under to attract the male readers, although at least in the first book it is all exploding gas tanks rather than gunfights. I can only guess this was targeted at teenage fems. Read at your own risk.

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And speaking of Rawles, he is again covering what you should do if there is Internet interference by the authorities, as Egypt has stopped civilian access. My thoughts are that when the Internet is down here, it will stay down. If things get that desperate. If the net is down but the mail is still up, I myself plan on going strictly mail order. Instead of writing every day I’ll just put out a booklet ( e-book on disc ) or two monthly. If you think this is a concern, take a moment to jot down my snail mail address as listed on my web page while you still can ( the 181 Bullion is my mail box, the c/o FISH is just for packages ). I’m not too worried about it- at the most I’ll have to worry about interrupted income. But if the Internet and the mail is down, we are in Game Over and will have more immediate concerns.

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A minion wrote an e-mail and asked what I thought about the Egypt situation and the potential for financial chaos. I made it sound pretty good but in essence my reply was “huh?”. I like being away from the news on the weekend ( no net out at the Compound, and the TV news is worse than no news ), but that does have a downside. Such as not knowing what the hell is going on. I thought the Egypt thing was just riots like in Greece or whatever. No concern here. And the SNL skit on the Egyptian leader was pretty funny but made no impression on me one way or another. Luckily for me I went on over to

http://americanenergycrisis.blogspot.com/

and got the 411 ( future generations will be astounded by our cell phone induced slang ). Egypt itself per se has little bearing on things, but Saudi Arabia is the one to watch. If the royals go, the global economy could crash as Saudi oil is thought to be jeopardized. Read all his posts on the subject- I think there were three or four. I think it would be the psychological aspect of it that crashed things. By itself, Saudi Arabia doesn’t produce all that much oil. A bit more than domestic US production. Yes, it is 10% of the global supply, but look at the US. We’ve taken a 20% hit and are still hanging in there. At most, Saudi Arabia oil, if it improbably ceased all production, would cause global depression but not Lights Out. Okay, we are already in a depression just because the increase of oil stopped, but hopefully you take my meaning. No, the big problem is that serious problems in Saudi Arabia would spell out in detail to the Pollyanna’s that Saudi Arabia is no longer the savior it has been made out to be.

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The big Saudi field that got us through the last oil crunch has been producing for about the maximum life of an oil field. They are water injecting to squeeze the last oil out, plus furiously pumping from offshore to make up for either halted or slowing production in the old field. Matt Simmons told us all about it years ago and we ignored him. To acknowledge declining Saudi production is to undermine the entire fantasy of forevermore oil. Even if the Saudi oil is in no danger of completely running out ( water injection damages a field and you can’t get out the last of the oil ), a political event that endangers production will be a huge blow financially. Finally, no one will be able to deny the Saudi oil can’t keep us Oil Up forever. We are already Oil Down, reclassifying products ( the sand and shale crap ) as conventional oil just to keep the figures up at plateau level rather than showing a decline ( no oil growth means no ability to pay the interest to the bankers ). But just because you and I know we are blued and tattooed oil wise doesn’t mean all the Ponzi suckers out there are wise. They are keeping their faith in paper promises. The Saudi tap will endanger this cozy illusion and the victims will rush to the exits. We can smugly laugh at their follies, but do keep in mind that at the same time the bond market tanks, the food storage companies will be overloaded and freeze orders for six months. And guns and ammo will shoot up again ( get it? Shoot up in price ) as the gun counters are mobbed by panicking Yuppies trying to protect their now liquid assets ( and imagine how the precious metals will go up in price ). And perhaps, not positive but just maybe, the junk land will all be scarfed up. Not because more people got smarter but because a lot more people panicked.

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I’m already experiencing hardening nipples in anticipation of my “Told You So” dance. We might not even have to run out of oil before it all implodes.

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The Official Bison Web Site http://www.bisonpress.com/
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My e-mail is jimd303@netzero.com
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Anyone can submit a guest article. No minimum word length, no writing skill necessary ( just get the idea across ). You retain copyright ( this must be your original writing ) and I’ll just use the once. I’ve yet to turn down an article, just don’t use the N Bomb or libel another that can sue me. Send by e-mail ( please, label as “guest article” so I can find it easily later ). Payment will be your removal from my enemies list.
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8 comments:

PioneerPreppy said...

As you continue on in the "Tomorrow" series the interpersonal relationships take up progressively more and more of the books.

Yes they are a sortof scaled down "Red Dawn" and are in fact young adult books. Just like RD where these kids learn how to use and maintain foreign weapons is a big question. I read them all a few years ago but I wasn't impressed either.

Anonymous said...

Jim, I found it interesting that Rawles made this statement:

“As a first step, a couple of months ago we began publicizing our IP address (It is: 64.92.111.122) I got a chuckle when I saw a wannabe blog quickly follow suit. “

Could it be that JWR was criticizing Creekmore, and could it be because in the poll that his blog was #1 MD was #2? Rawles is certainly wrapped too tight (must be a Type A?) but this is the first time I’ve seen him say anything beneath himself. Have I missed something? Your comments, please.

Anonymous said...

For sure we're not getting the news about Egypt, Yemen, Tunisia, et. al. in the US. Al-Jazeera is apparently the best news source on this, but they're blocked in most of the US.

I just have to wonder, in the chaos over there, which minor sheik is the equivalent of the Arch-Duke Ferdinand?

Kang & Kodos said...

"We might not even have to run out of oil before it all implodes."

Your forecast is as cheery as always. Thanks for the heads up. Keep up the good work.

Anonymous said...

To Anonymous @9:59am

Rawles still has the largest following. The more I read and follow his site, the less well I've thought of it simply because I think a lot of the posts (which he has not himself written) are crappy in terms of actual content. Plus, I did not think highly of the book Patriots. But, the man has been very successful in generating a following. I agree, he has no need to get chippy. He's doing quite well for himself.

Creekmore's site is definitely picking up steam in terms of readership. He has a pleasant tone, and provides a forum for people to post in more of a conversational manner in response to one another. It is a good format. If the Bible-thumping fundamentalism of Rawles or the sheer cost of his prep strategy does not appeal to you, Creekmore's site is a good alternative for the general-all-purpose-prepper.

Lord Bison is cranky and regularly spews out material likely to offend someone. There is no good news. He's the Charles Bukowski of the survivalist writers. Prolific, interesting, unencumbered by the need to display social graces, and deliberately flipping the bird at our social hierarchies. Bison Survival keeps my interest even when I don't really need any more prepping advice.

James m Dakin said...

I just looked up Charles Bukowski on Wiki. Thanks!!

Anonymous said...

Creekmore's site was surely the target of Rawles' mockery via the 'wanabee' comment. A bit harsh, for certain, but Creekmore routinely hits the delete button when he moderates comments so nobody gets to read any of the legitimate concerns that people express about his sophomoric postings.

I like Creekmore's spirit, but Rawles is correct in labeling him a 'wannabe'. He's too vain. Not a good trait to have when TEOTWAWKI is upon us.

God Bless the Lord Bison Almighty, whom we are not worthy to even look upon. But we MUST look upon, because of his hair.

Anonymous said...

Jim; you are right. The Tomorrow series is aimed at teen aged girls- my daughter loves them.(she's 12)
And it has her asking good questions; even getting interested in South East Asian politics and history.
Is it the Aussie version of Red Dawn? Probably. I remember that movie had teen aged Yanks turning into Rambo......
The Movie version of Tomorrow is full of eye candy too.... :)

AKM. (Australia)