hyperinflation hunker down

HYPERINFLATION HUNKER DOWN



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Of the many things we’ve talked to death here over the years, one has been the ill advised process of last minute stocking up. A panic or disaster develops, say, Obammy is shot down by Iranian sponsored terrorists and the 99% of people who didn’t vote for him ( he was Selected, not Elected, remember? ) start celebrating and things get out of control like when there is a soccer victory riot in merry ol’ England, and you suddenly realized that you are an incredible dumb ass. Not a large dumb ass like when you woke up early from stress because the boss wanted you to take over the job of a fifth person to add to your workload, you were all groggy and stubbed your toe on the same coffee table you had passed safely over something like ten thousand times. Oh, no. More like being a colossal, supreme overlord of the universe dumb ass when you got married to the wife who was charmingly plump and had jiggles in all the right places, but you had seem her mother who weighed in excess of a UPS truck ( fully loaded ) and you knew that the daughter would look just like her mother in just a few years, but you married her anyway and after two kids she weighed about the equivalent of two of her mothers and now you had a huge fat lard ass of a wife and while you loved her dearly and her two offspring that looked like Hansel and feffin Gretel you still feared for your very life every time she rolled over in bed.

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You were a dumbass because you didn’t have jack for survival supplies. Well, you and 99.999 percent of the population ( did I get the decimal point right? 30k out of 300 million prepping ) are not prepared. So, you go out there and try to shop. But the stores, with their just in time inventory ( because, hey, as a business you have a fiduciary responsibly to your shareholders to maximize profits, and playing emergency supply warehouse to the bleating sheep is definitely NOT a way to profitability and without inventory you can afford to pay the bankers interest since with everybody paying interest to buy everything jacked up in cost due to everybody paying interest, there is a whole lot of cost associated with a loan, so let the government help out folks in an emergency but oh crap, guess what? The government keeps borrowing money to pay its yearly expenses so while they pay all that money to the bankers in interest there isn’t anything left to buy emergency supplies for times of crisis ) don’t have much if anything on hand. So, here you have a business that stocks what is needed for one or two days, on the assumption that most customers won’t come in and buy said items because they don’t need it just yet, 99% of the population having kitchen cabinets that also operate in JIT ( the larger percentage of homes with more than three days of food in comparison to the number of preppers is explained by Depression era grandma’s stocking 100 cans of pickled beets- it won’t keep them alive but at least they are trying, after the onset of senility, to do something positive, so we can forgive them their choice of calorie deficit foods ). When anymore than 001% of the population starts stocking up for future consumption, the whole system falls apart and people get irritated and start shooting each other. So, a much longer story shortened, don’t go out for emergency supplies after panic has set in, as there will be too much armed competition.

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Now, let’s talk about trying to buy anything, stockpile wise, in a hyperinflation environment. You know, the kind where hapless German or Argentinean housewives scurry around from line to line, looking on in dismay while the window signs are taken down and replaced with higher posted prices several times and if they get to the head of the line a wilted turnip is the only thing left and it cost several million units of currency. I’m not necessarily saying that America will see hyperinflation. It most likely will, but there is also a good chance that oil imports will be interrupted and since there is no way in heaven our economy can function on forty percent ( it used to be 30% of domestic production but since we’ve lost 20% of our imports we are in a position where it looks like we are more energy self sufficient, especially factoring in the incredibly stupid policy of turning half our corn into inferior gasoline ) of the oil we are currently using, commerce just freezes up. Oh, there will be insane prices for what is left, but not hyperinflation insane. Just insane based on today’s prices.

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If we do see hyperinflation, my guess is that we will see inflation indexed loans. Why? Because the bankers are the puppet masters, and they refuse to go out of business. This isn’t like Germany, where the banks were an extension of national strategy and empire building. Here, the bankers are a sovereign occupying power ( if I can’t convince you of this, our conversation is useless, as if it were a Peak Oil advocate talking to an abiotic oil theorist ), which, yes, in the past helped the government consolidate power but are now scrambling for their own sole survival. Once loan interest rates go up, yet peoples wages don’t, if any are in actual fact still employed, business transactions fall off a cliff. Businesses start closing their doors very quickly. Hence, this will be far worse than a sudden cataclysmic disaster where everyone runs out for supplies. Because the number of potential stores where you can fight for supplies has drastically diminished. The frenzy and panic and violence will be worse.

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In a sudden collapse, violence escalates almost to maximum at once. But it is dispersed. And not everyone is participating in the free for all, because most folks think normal will return soon. But in hyperinflation, by the time enough time has gone by for most folks to convince themselves that the end is nigh, most stores have shuttered and most prices have gone beyond what is affordable. Far more people are panicking at far less locations. I think the violence, slow to start, will be just as bad but a lot more people will participate. Avoid last minute stockpiling in a hyperinflation era. The emotions will scream to run out and get rid of worthless paper for tangibles. The logic should be telling you to stay in the perimeter. Charlie is outside. Stay put. If you aren’t squared away in supplies, going out and getting injured or killed will help the family even less. If you finally want to prove useful, long after it was needed and long after it was too late, because you were a friggin pussy and didn’t stand up to the wife and insist you must protect the family, just put a bullet into everyone’s head. Far better than starving to death for over a month.

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